[속보] 미국 연준 FOMC 기준금리 동결, 올해중 인상횟수는 확대

[글로벌이코노믹 연구소 김대호 소장] 美 FOMC가 기준 금리를 동결했다.

미국 연준은 2일 이틀간의 FOMC를 마치면서 기준금리를 1.75&~2.00%에서 동결한다고 밝혔다.
연준 FOMC는 금리동결의 이유로 미국 GDP 성장률이 4.1%로 크게 오르고 실업률이 떨어지고 있으나 물가가 아직도 목표 범위 내에 있다는 사살을 들었다.

이에 따라 달러 엔화 환율 뉴욕증시 국제유가 금시세 등에 큰 변화는 없을 것으로 예상된다.

연준 FOMC 정책성명서는 그러나 미국 GDP 성장률이 4.1%로 크게 오르고 실업률이 빠른 속도로 떨어지고 있는 점을 감안할 때 올해중 금리인상 횟수는 당초발표한 4번에서 5번으로 늘어날 수도 있음을 간접적으로 시사했다.

금리인상 횟수가 늘어나는 것으로 확인되면 달러 엔화 환율 뉴욕증시 다우지수 나스닥지수 국제유가 금시세등 이 요동칠 수 있다. .

다음은 미구 연준 FOMC 정책 성명서 .

Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
For release at 2:00 p.m. EDT

ShareInformation received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen even as growth in economic activity slowed. Job gains were solid, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate declined. Household spending rose only modestly, but the fundamentals underpinning the continued growth of consumption remained solid. Business fixed investment firmed. Inflation measured on a 12-month basis recently has been running close to the Committee's 2 percent longer-run objective. Excluding energy and food, consumer prices declined in March and inflation continued to run somewhat below 2 percent. Market-based measures of inflation compensation remain low; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee views the slowing in growth during the first quarter as likely to be transitory and continues to expect that, with gradual adjustments in the stance of monetary policy, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace, labor market conditions will strengthen somewhat further, and inflation will stabilize around 2 percent over the medium term. Near-term risks to the economic outlook appear roughly balanced. The Committee continues to closely monitor inflation indicators and global economic and financial developments.



In view of realized and expected labor market conditions and inflation, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 3/4 to 1 percent. The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting some further strengthening in labor market conditions and a sustained return to 2 percent inflation.

In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments. The Committee will carefully monitor actual and expected inflation developments relative to its symmetric inflation goal. The Committee expects that economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant gradual increases in the federal funds rate; the federal funds rate is likely to remain, for some time, below levels that are expected to prevail in the longer run. However, the actual path of the federal funds rate will depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming data.

The Committee is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction, and it anticipates doing so until normalization of the level of the federal funds rate is well under way. This policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.

속보 이어집니다


김대호 소장 tiger8280@g-enews.com